Kenpom is a site dedicated to advanced analysis of college basketball and I reference a lot of the numbers and rankings here. They are now doing their computer projections for each conference tournament and here at the results for the CAA:
All-kenpom: Jerrelle Benimon, Towson (kPOY); Devon Saddler, Delaware; Sherrod Wright, George Mason; R.J. Hunter, Georgia State; Damion Lee, Drexel.
The number above are the probabilities of a team advancing to each round. Looks like George Mason has a less than 20% chance of taking the CAA autobid to the NCAA tournament this year.