Atlantic 10 predictions

A10 pc court

Conference play in the Atlantic 10 officially begins tonight as Saint Louis takes on Rhode Island. Here are my predictions on how the league standings will look come March. Predicted conference record in parenthesis:

1. Massachusetts (13-2) – Have you watched these guys play, incredible, and it’s not all just Chaz Williams. Big man Cady Lalanne is a force

2. Saint Louis (11-5) – One of the best defensive teams in the country. Only losses are close calls against Wisconsin and Wichita State.

3. VCU (11-5) – Not exactly scaring people as much as they did last season but they still force more turnovers than anyone else in the country. They will out-work you on both ends just flat out find ways to win. Juvonte Reddic might be NBA bound.

4. Dayton (10-6) – Biggest surprise of the conference so far. A team with a very efficient offense and they are deep with a lot of guys who can score.

5. George Washington (9-7) – Did George Mason ever consider Mike Lonergan before they hired Paul Hewitt? They should have.

6. Richmond (9-7) – The Spiders could crack the top five but need to find more offense.

7. St. Bonaventure (8-8) – Haven’t seen them play but they scored 102 in a win over Iona. Yes that Iona.

8. Saint Joesph’s (7-9) – Phil Martelli squads are looking pretty average these days. They do enter conference play winning 7 of their last 9.

9. Rhode Island (7-9) –  Recent win over LSU was impressive.

10. La Salle (6-10) - What happened to these guys? I thin they will find their groove in conference play but it might come too late.

11. George Mason (5-11) – To be honest, five wins in this conference seems very generous given what we’ve seen recently.

12. Fordam (4-12) – Freshman Jon Severe is a future star.

13. Duquesne (4-12) – Mason’s only chance for a series sweep in the conference.

What are you A-10 predictions? How many conference wins will George Mason have this year?

  • dtearl

    Think you’re being a bit too friendly to Duquesne and to Rhody. One of GW, Richmond and Dayton is going to need to establish separation as a clear #4 if this is a 4-bid league. I’m not convinced yet.

    • gmuhoops

      I have Duquesne dead last, how is that being friendly?

      • dtearl

        I think they’re 2-14 dead last. Not 4 wins dead last.

        • gmuhoops

          Oh I see. You may be right then haha.

  • David Jonathan

    http://blogs.ajc.com/mark-bradley-blog/2011/02/14/time-for-tech-to-cut-its-many-losses-and-fire-paul-hewitt/

    Please explain why we even hired him. His record in regular-season ACC play, which is 70-101, or his conference road record, which is 19-66, but this number tolls loudest: Paul Hewitt has had three losing seasons since Georgia Tech graced the 2004 NCAA title game. As bad as that sounds, it’s actually worse…. Read the the article

    • gmuhoops

      I never liked the hire and so many people called me negative for being critical of him in 2012 and last season. I don’t think they have an amazing roster but other coaches could win with these guys. It just shouldn’t be this bad and the team just not as lost as they do on the court.

      • Chris Hirsch

        Never liked the hire either, what’s to look about a guy paid 7 million to go away?

        • David Jonathan

          “Wichita State wants to be the next Butler. They want to be the next VCU. They don’t want to be the next George Mason, falling back to mediocrity after a run to the Final Four.” –NBC Sports quote.

          http://collegebasketballtalk.nbcsports.com/2013/10/29/wichita-state-isnt-ready-to-settle-for-just-one-final-four-run/

        • gmuhoops

          O’Connor went with the “safe hire” I guess in his mind. Ex-ACC guy to tout to the donors and fan base. Surely his shortcomings won’t follow him to the CAA/A-10 with his experience….

          • David Jonathan

            This page receives a lot of traffic, and people tend to really respect your opinion. If you want Hewitt gone, I recommend creating a blog illustrating how bad he is. Maybe a Blog would open some eyes, and it will put pressure on the administration to fire Hewitt.

        • mkaufman1

          Lets be real Hirsch, you told me how much you loved the hire every day on Gchat.

          • Chris Hirsch

            Just like you were calling Crosby mediocre right?

          • mkaufman1

            LOL- touche my friend, touche

      • rosswill

        I never liked this hire either. The GT fans warned us what was going to happen and they were right. Do you know how many years are on Hewitt’s contract?

      • mkaufman1

        Agreed as well. And I was one who was willing to give Hewitt “Time”, see what he could do etc. But as I said this was the year that showed mostly of what Mason had. And Im not impressed by any stretch.

        • gmuhoops

          This season was supposed to be the year that he shows us something. He’s brought in some of his own guys and has coached other starters here for 3 years now. I can’t imagine other coaches who return this many guys from the previous year do this bad.

          • mkaufman1

            Exactly exactly exactly. How you can return the entire team (minus Marquis Moore, and Jalen Jenkins but he practiced) and get worse is just mind boggling. I know Arledge was a big loss, but theres still 11 other guys on the team. Just absurdity and I’m afraid that its only going to get worse.

          • gmuhoops

            Loss of Arledge hurts but so much else is wrong here. It’s shame because he was looking so much more tough in the paint during the CBI and they badly need that.

    • David Houck

      The comments on this AJC article are so similar to what we say.

  • Andy Minor

    5-11 seems incredibly generous. It doesn’t really give us a lot of room for our impending “head scratcher” losses. Then again we’re also prone to “head scratcher” wins. The only thing certain is without a ridiculous miracle we are staring at our first losing season in quite a while.

    • gmuhoops

      Just watch we will see things like them beating Saint Louis or someone good and then dropping homecoming game to St Bonaventure.

      • Andy Minor

        With what happened last year I have absolutely no faith in winning the homecoming game.

        On that same note I was considering not going to the UMass game, but I kind of want to see them play in person. Now I know what my brother at VTech feels like going to watch real teams play at Cassell.

  • mkaufman1

    I’ll play…I know we are down on the team, but I have a feeling they’ll win 7, no real reason why, other than a “feeling”. I could see us doing decently at home and of course losing a ton on the road.

    7-9 isn’t acceptable with the team Mason has by any stretch and would finish the year at 14-16. I originally predicted about 17 wins after watching 9 games, but thats probably the “max” prediction

    • gmuhoops

      I felt 8-8 wasn’t impossible after the URI game but the way they’ve played since is just so discouraging. I can believe even 7-9 but that’s assuming we haven’t seen these guys play their best yet and Sherrod’s slump was more fluke than reality. But we don’t know if any of that is true.

      • mkaufman1

        Agreed 110%. The general regression since the 30 minutes of good play during the USF game has been absurd. While the team did look better in Hawaii, they then came back with 2 more games of disarray.

        Now last year the team did look generally better over the last 10 (yes they blew the Northeastern game, and played a crappy tournament), but its a completely different (and more difficult) league.

  • gamoo79

    Ryan, i’m new on here, but have followed your posts for a couple of years. You seem to have at least a small portion of TOC’s ear. Any word from him on Hewitt, the current state of the program, or it’s future? We seem to have some decent prospects coming in, but the good recruiter, average coach mantra seems to be playing out as accurate. Is TOC saying anything at all? Even “party line” stuff?

    • gmuhoops

      Party line stuff. “Happy with where we are”. “We’re improving”.

  • Masonfansince03

    I am saying we will go 8-8.

  • gmusigs

    I honestly thought 9-7 was a real possibility before this season began. #FireHewitt

  • SkinsGMU

    Such a strong conference again this season, feel bad for the other teams that have to play us and not Butler or Xavier.

  • David Houck

    Call Jeff Capel.. just make me happy

  • masonfan014

    I’m predicting 7-9. Basing this on the delusion that Jenkins, Holloway, Moore, and Marko will all make huge strides in A-10 play.

  • Chris Hirsch

    I’m predicting I will somehow, some way, dislike Hewitt even more come March.

    • Andy Minor

      Short of winning the regular season and a deep run in Brooklyn there’s nothing holding my loyalty to him. He hasn’t proven he can make a consistent, winning basketball team in 3 years. Until he does that I will be critical.

  • ricandersen

    Heh. I went through the schedule this morning, and also came up with GMU finishing 5-11 in conference play. At some point they will probably win against a Dayton or GWU, but I’m sure they will also find a way to lose one against a Rhode Island or Fordham.

    • GMUPATS74

      Ric we agree on something. I say 4-12 though.

  • Mason Mom

    I would switch your 1 and 2, St Louis wins overall. Mason (7-9)

  • tommy2

    Here’s a post from Valentines Day 2011, from one of the AJC articles…insert George Mason and deja vu. Hewitt’s teams for the last few years have simply been an abomination to fundamental basketball….turnovers, lazy passing, terrible ball handling, free throws, turnovers, in-bounding the ball, standing around on offense while one guy dribbles, turnovers, handling a full court press, turnovers….it is painful to watch.

  • tommy2

    oh, I meant to also say, five wins max in the A-10.

  • GMUPATS74

    I really wanted to believe in Hewitt. A guy who takes GT to a National Title game doesn’t go null overnight…or does he? It just doesn’t add up how he revived Siena and GT before the one-and-dones in GT ultimately caught up with him. Now he’s here and even mediocrity cannot be achieved.
    How does a coach like that regress? It boggles the mind. It’s tough to look at these results and have hope.

    • gmuhoops

      I agree it boggles the mind. Although I didn’t agree with the hire I still thought Hewitt could have some success here given his background and recruiting ability. The excuses are running out and he does little to convince anyone he knows how to win.

      • GMUPATS74

        Hate to jump on the fire Hewitt bandwagon but there are a lot of up-and-coming young coaches who could do a lot more in Fairfax. I don’t agree with Capel or Pearl coming here, they both have some skeletons in their closets. We can do better.

        • David Houck

          I believe Capel was cleared of any and all wrong doing at OU.. fact is that he has extremely strong ties to the state, having been an assistant under his dad at ODU and having a few very successful years at VCU. He is Coach K’s main recruiter and has learned from THE BEST.
          If you want to excite the fan base and create a massive amount of buzz while also getting an excellent coach, Bruce Pearl is the guy. He made his mistakes, he will want to start fresh and will attract bigger and better crowds. All that being said, he wouldn’t come to Mason anyway, he wants to be at a school with a football team.

          • GMUPATS74

            Just out of curiosity why is it Pearl would only want a FB school?

  • gamoo79

    GMUPATS74, If you graduated in ’74 you really go back. I’m ’79.

    • GMUPATS74

      No Gamoo79 I was born in 74, but I’m getting there.

  • gamoo79

    Rats. I really do feel old.
    I used to attend games at the old gym on Ring Rd. when it was only half a ring…todays Patriot Circle. We were division II and coach Linn was in his heyday. Students, and everybody else got in free. Not even a ticket window. The players on the court outnumbered the fans in the stands…both if us. Just barely an exageration. Good attendance was 20-25. And, we EXPECTED to lose. Which we usually did. That is why the final 4 run was so magical for me. I have it commemorated on my license plate.
    I”ve followed GMU basketball since 1975, and it kills me to see us fall so far so fast with seemingly no institutional interest in making things better. Yes, I want Mason to be a world class university, but it is hard to cheer for a hard science discovery. The Green Machine recently was voted best pep band in the country…thanks to Doc Nix. Top acheivement can be reached with the right leadership.
    Thanks folks for listening to a 56 year olds rant.

    • GMUPATS74

      Gamoo I was about to say you’ve probably seen the team rise from obscurity to national prominence and then go into decline again. Hopefully you’ll see them go back up soon.

      • gamoo79

        I hope so too.

    • gmu2009

      Respect

      • gamoo79

        Thanks

  • CaptLew

    Another disappointed fan here with how the season is turning out. Aside from withholding Patriot Club donations, what is the recommended medium to express dissatisfaction to the administration if our A-10 debut turns out as expected.

    • Andy Minor

      Not sure if withholding donations is the way to go…that just hurts the program overall and lessens our chances of bringing in a better coach once we can kick Blewitt. I’d consider canceling my season tickets before I cancel my donation just because I want the team to do well, no matter who is the coach, but I’m not satisfied with what I see on the floor.

    • gmurva

      Agree w/ Andy, the more we all give, the more likely our opinions will matter.

      We also need to keep our tickets if for no other reason than to support the Green Machine so the media does not give the #1 pep band title to the Peppas (#2). Maybe I am a bit too competitive when it comes to Mason. So much so, I joined a small group of Mason alumni to donate enough food to the Central VA Foodbank to make sure we beat JMU, VT, and VCU (in their own backyard) when VCU hosted the “Charity Challenge” in Richmond (http://goo.gl/mCqZJR). I hate losing (especially to VCU :).

      I will be at the game in RVA on Thursday night for our first official A10 game and I expect it will be ugly – but it is a college basketball game so miracles do happen (that is why we keep watching right? :).

      I hope Hewitt gets his act together this season for the kids he is coaching. Hate to see people get lazy and/or not care when they reach the “top” and/or have more money than they need. I fully support the idea of finding a young up-and-coming coach (sooner rather than later), I believe that starts with the AD. VCU had one that was very good at hiring coaches (he moved on, but I think it will be a very long time before VCU needs a new coach so it will not matter). Just saying.

      I remember the “fire shaka” blogs the season before the final four season – he had two future NBA players on that team and they struggled until February (beat an overrated #17 Oklahoma team that finished 13-18 and lost to W&M). I am a Wright fan, but given the choice between him scoring 30 points on his own while the other guys watch and the “Hewitt guys” playing more minutes with a potential upside – I will take the latter. They all need to learn to pass and that and the rotation is on Hewitt.

      Enough rambling on – Go Mason!

  • GMUPATS74

    I cringe to think what the score will be tomorrow. Blewitt Ball is ultimately self-defeating.